CD Skripsi
Pengaruh Ekspektasi Inflasi Produsen, Ekspektasi Inflasi Konsumen, Dan Pdb Terhadap Inflasi Di Indonesia Tahun 2010-2017
The purpose of this research is to analyze influence of producer inflation expectations, consumer inflation expectations, and GDP on inflation in Indonesia. This research uses quantitative descriptive method. The data used in this research is secondary data based on time series in quarterly from 2010 until 2017. Data obtained from Bank Indonesia (BI) and Badan Pusat Statistik (BPS) Riau Province. The dependent variable in this research is inflation, while the independent variables are producer inflation expectations, consumer inflation expectations, and GDP. This research uses multiple regression analysis with a computer application program SPSS 24.0.
From the research that has been done obtained simultaneous regression test (F test) showed that the producer inflation expectations, consumer inflation expectations, and GDP simultaneously positive and significant influence on actual inflation. Partial regression test (t test) showed that the producer inflation expectations significant positive effect on the inflation. Consumer inflation expectation has positive and significant effect on the inflation. GDP has positive and significant effect on the inflation. The amount of influence on the producer inflation expectations, consumer inflation expectations, and GDP simultaneously at 58,4%, while the remaining 41,6% is influenced by other variables not examined in this research.
The research finds that to increase or decrease inflation, it is necessary to increase or decrease producer and consumer inflation expectations as well as GDP. Given inflation expectations may affect inflation, it is necessary to further strengthen monetary policy measures through policy coordination and increase credibility, in order to improve economic confidence of economic actors so as to improve patterns of inflation expectations and achieve predetermined inflation targets.
Keywords : Producer Inflation Expectations, Consumer Inflation Expectations, and GDP.
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