CD Skripsi

Peramalan Inflasi Di Kota Pekanbaru Dengan Menggunakan Metode Double Exponential Smoothing Brown

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Inflation is one of the indicators used to measure the success of a country's economy. Inflation has great importance in economic and financial management, inflation forecasting helps in economic planning, monetary policy making, business management, and investment decision making. Inflation in Pekanbaru City in 2021 is the lowest inflation in Indonesia. This study uses data on Inflation in Pekanbaru City from January 2014 to December 2021. Time series analysis is a statistical procedure applied to predict the probability structure of conditions that will occur in the future to make a decision. Forecasting is one of the methods used in predicting uncertainty in the future in an effort to make better decisions. The smoothing method is a forecasting method based on empirical data patterns to forecast the future, where the new data has a greater weight than the previous data, in this study researchers want to know how the Inflation rate in Pekanbaru City in January to December for 2022 using the Double Exponential Smoothing Brown method. The Double Exponential Smoothing Brown method was chosen because this method is able to overcome trends in inflation data that vary over time. The results showed that the Double Exponential Smoothing Brown method can produce fairly accurate forecasts for the inflation rate in Pekanbaru city. Based on the forecasting that has been done, the results show that the forecasting of inflation rates in Pekanbaru City in 2022 has decreased every month.

Keywords: Inflation, forecasting, smoothing method, time series, double exponential smoothing brown

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Detail Information

Título da série

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Número de chamada

703122261

Editora

Pekanbaru : Universitas Riau FMIPA Statistika., 2024

Paginação

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Idioma

Indonesia

ISBN/ISSN

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Classificação

703122261

Content Type

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Media Type

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Carrier Type

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Edição

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Assunto(s)

STATISTIKA

Detalhe específico

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Statement of Responsibility

Mutia

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