CD Tesis
Analisis Kebutuhan Investasi Sektor Unggulan di Kabupaten Rokan Hulu
Rokan Hulu Regency has one of the highest poverty rates in Riau Province, with approximately 74.38 thousand people categorized as poor (BPS Rokan Hulu Regency, 2024). This poses a significant challenge for the local government to address in order to drive development and economic growth. This study aligns with the mission of Rokan Hulu Regency as outlined in its Regional Medium Term Development Plan (RMTDP) for 2021–2026, which aims to create a productive, creative, and competitive regional economy by enhancing economic self-reliance, reducing income inequality, increasing regional investment, ensuring food security, and lowering poverty and unemployment rates. The Regional Development Planning Agency (TRDPA) of Rokan Hulu Regency highlights that investment is a key driver of economic growth. According to Wahidin et al. (2023), prioritizing leading sectors is essential for accelerating income, consumption, and investment growth to boost regional development and economic expansion. This study aims to analyze the leading sectors in Rokan Hulu Regency and estimate the investment needs for these sectors from 2025 to 2045.
The study was conducted in Rokan Hulu Regency, Riau Province, using time series data from 2011 to 2023. The data includes Gross Regional Domestic Product (GRDP) at constant prices by business field in Riau Province and Rokan Hulu Regency, as well as Gross Fixed Capital Formation (GFCF) at constant prices by expenditure. The analysis methods used in this study are Location Quotient (LQ), Dynamic Location Quotient (DLQ), Trend Analysis, and Incremental Capital Output Ratio (ICOR).
The results indicate that Rokan Hulu Regency has four leading sectors: agriculture, forestry, and fisheries; electricity and gas procurement; information and communication; and government administration, defense, and compulsory social security. These sectors have LQ and DLQ values greater than one, meaning their contributions to the economy of Rokan Hulu Regency are higher than those of other sectors, both currently and in the future. The total investment needs for the leading sectors of Rokan Hulu Regency from 2025 to 2045 are IDR 93,154.531 billion for agriculture, forestry, and fisheries; IDR 10,223.150 billion for electricity and gas procurement; IDR 24,457.547 billion for information and communication; and IDR -48,632.099 billion for government administration, defense, and compulsory social security.
Keywords: Economic Growth, Leading Sectors, Investment
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