CD Skripsi
Prediksi Persediaan Bahan Baku U-Ditch Pada Pt. Multiguna Precast Mandiri Menggunakan Metode Single Exponential Smoothing Berbasis Web
PT. Multipurpose Precast Mandiri is a national company where the main
activities are service provision, heavy equipment supply, transportation, industry
precast, printed concrete, stone crusher. The purpose of this study is to use the
method single exponential smoothing to predict the availability of raw materials
u-ditch in the coming months / periods at PT. Multipurpose Precast Mandiri,
designing and making raw material inventory prediction applications u-ditch web
based and measuring the level of accuracy in predicting the availability of raw
materials at PT. Multipurpose Precast Mandiri web based. The method single
exponential smoothing is a continuous activity to make improvements in
forecasting by averaging or smoothing the actual data values obtained from past
data by decreasing (exponential) with smoothing intervals between α (0.1 to 0, 9).
Based on the research results, it is found that the prediction uses the method
obtained are the single exponential smoothing and the accuracy of the results is
with the values error MAD, MSE and MAPE, and the results prediction of the
smallest sand raw material at alpha 0.9 with an value of error MSE
276.96937887436, MAD value 10.937206355, and MAPE 19.44665317789 %
with good accuracy, the smallest cement raw material is at alpha 0.9 with an
value of error MSE 162.08559960902, MAD value 8.620003534, MAPE
18.088031191672 % with good accuracy, and the last is the smallest split stone
raw material at alpha 0.9 with value error MSE 246.12494412477, MAD value
11.064039929, and MAPE 18.040272918122 % with good accuracy. A good level
of accuracy is the level of accuracy that gets good predictions with value error a
small.
Keywords: Forecasting, Forecasting, Inventory, Single Exponential Smoothing,
MSE, Raw Materials.
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