CD Tesis
Kelayakan Finansial Dalam Investasi Proyek Infrastruktur Jalan Tol Melalui Pendekatan Stokastik
This study aims to analyze the financial feasibility of investing in the
Pekanbaru-Dumai toll road infrastructure project through a stochastic
(probability) approach. This study uses random data with financial variables in
the form of data on national economic indicators (Bank Indonesia Certificate,
Riau Province Inflation, Jakarta Inter Bank Offer Rate) and investment costs for
the Pekanbaru - Dumai toll road infrastructure project. The parameter measured
is the Net Present Value (NPV) as a condition of being eligible or not an
investment, where if the NPV > 0 (positive) the toll road investment is declared
financially feasible, otherwise if the NPV < 0 (negative) the toll road investment is
declared financially unfeasible. .
The results show that with the feasibility support from the government in the
form of State Capital Participation (SCP) of 13% of the construction cost with a
concession period of 40 years, the results obtained are Net Present Value (NPV),
a minimum value of IDR (66,585.810,000), the average value of
IDR 153,573,120,000, maximum value IDR 1,218,854,320,000, probability of loss
5% > (positive). These results confirm that the Pekanbaru - Dumai toll road
infrastructure project investment is financially feasible with a 95% confidence
level.
Keywords : Toll road investment, financial feasibility, stochastic, Net Present
Value, software @ Risk, State Capital Participation (SCP).
Tidak tersedia versi lain