CD Tesis
Kerentanan Dan Strategi Adaptasi Masyarakat Tepi Waduk Desa Pongkai Istiqomah Terhadap Dampak Kekeringan Dari Perubahan Iklim
This research is based on the existence of a drought that has struck the Pongkai Istiqomah village community. It can be seen from the existence of community water sources that have shrunk and even dried up, so that it disrupts people's lives, especially in meeting the needs of clean water. This study aims to determine the level of vulnerability of people living on the edge of the Koto Panjang hydropower reservoir against the effects of drought from climate change, using the concept of the IPCC which includes exposure, sensitivity and adaptive capacity. In addition, this study also aims to analyze adaptation strategies to the effects of drought from climate change that can be applied to reservoir edge communities in Istiqomah Pongkai Village
This research was conducted in July 2017 to July 2018 in Pongkai Istiqomah Village, XIII Koto Kampar District, Kampar Regency. The research method used is a quantitative method with a descriptive approach. Data collection was carried out by interviewing 40 (forty) respondents who were guided by questioners. In addition, observations were also made on the condition of the surrounding environment as well as the usual actions taken by the community and documented in the form of photographs of the conditions that exist in the community
There are 13 indicators used in this study consisting of (1) critical water reservoirs; and (2) length of dry days from exposure criteria (Exposure, E); (3) Indicators of water availability; (4) reservoir water dependence; (5) daily water use behavior; (6) sensitivity of drinking water sources; (7) access to water sources and (8) income sensitivity from sensitivity criteria (Sensitivity, S) and (9) education indicators; (10) public knowledge; (11) conservation behavior; (12) the level of welfare can be seen from the amount of income and (13) Government support from the adaptive capacity criteria (AC)
Indicators of the vulnerability criteria are determined based on field observations and relevant previous research results. It is also based on the tendency for changes in rainfall patterns and community assessments of the presence or absence of climate change. The assessment of indicators of this vulnerability criterion is analyzed using a scoring technique and refers to the parameters of Heston YP (2014) which are divided into 3 levels, namely high vulnerability (0.00 - 0.33), moderate vulnerability (0.34 - 0.66) and low vulnerability (0.67 - 1.00). Regarding the adaptation strategy, a priority strategy was set using the SWOT-AHP analysis.
The results of the analysis of the vulnerability of the Istiqomah Pongkai village community show a number at the level of "moderate vulnerability" (Moderate Vulnerability) with an average vulnerability index value of 0.51. When referring to the concept of tolerance interval (coping range) of Subair (2013), the vulnerability of the Pongkai Istiqomah village community can be said to be at the level of "moderate" vulnerability. This is because the community has the ability to deal with the risks of the impacts of climate change as seen from the adaptation efforts that have been made by residents so that the effects of drought from climate change have not caused significant harm. These efforts include making use of springs that appear in the reservoir by making a simple shower cubicle, still utilizing the receding Binamang river water, utilizing the drainage of the reservoir as access to the garden and fishing boats and utilizing the 'canyon' spring for drinking needs. This simple effort of the community is not long-term, so for this Pongkai Istiqomah village community to be resilient it is necessary to develop an adaptation strategy.
Formulation of community adaptation strategies to the effects of drought from climate change using a SWOT-AHP analysis with an inconsistency index of less than or equal to 10%. From the calculations that have been done, both aspects of factors, aspects of actors and aspects of alternative strategies, the resulting consistency index all indicate an index value of 2%. This means that the hierarchy of each aspect, in the opinion of some experts, is nearing perfection and is acceptable. The adaptation strategy to the effects of drought from climate change is divided into three categories namely ecological adaptation categories in the form of (1) water harvesting and (2) forest and land rehabilitation, social adaptation categories in the form of (3) revitalization of infrastructure facilities and (4) community empowerment and categories economic adaptation in the form of (5) social forestry as an alternative livelihood for the people when they cannot find fish or for them to increase their economic income by carrying out alternative economic activities for short-cycle livelihoods (planting spinach), moderate recycling (planting cucumbers) and long-cycle (planting sugar palm, bamboo and honey bee development).
The five adaptation strategies, there are 3 (three) priority adaptation strategies that are important and need to be implemented immediately, in the opinion of experts based on the AHP assessment, that the adaptation strategy for water harvesting is more priority and immediately carried out with the results of a percentage assessment of 43.8% and followed with the existing tool revitalization strategy of 24.6% and a community empowerment strategy of 14.8%. From all this, it is necessary to have a Local Government policy related to community adaptation strategies to the effects of climate change, in the form of village-based development planning and improvement of community institutional capacity in a continuity or continuity for the realization of a resilient community.
Key word : Vulnerability, Drought, Adaptation Strategy, SWOT – AHP
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