CD Skripsi
Peramalan Persediaan Obat Pada Apotek Sinar Abadi Menggunakan Metode Exponential Smoothing
ABSTRACT
Forecasting is estimating the situation in the future through past circumstances. Forecasting aims to minimize losses that will occur in the future by applying methods related to forecasting. Sinar Abadi Pharmacy is one of the pharmacies that sells and has a stock of medicines. Drug supplies are very important for a pharmacy to met consumer or customer needs and support smooth business management at Sinar Abadi Pharmacy. Therefore, it is necessary to have a drug supply forecast system at Sinar Abadi Pharmacy. Made a Drug Inventory Forecast system at the Sinar Abadi Pharmacy aims to predict drug inventory at the pharmacy and to design and create an information system for forecast drug inventory to assist the work management of Sinar Abadi Pharmacy in obtaining drug inventory information based on the results of forecast past drug sales used the Triple Exponential Smoothing from Brown. The method stepped carried out in this studied are needed analysis, data collection, data analysis, and forecasted used the Triple Exponential Smoothing. Next, designed the system used the Unified Modeling Language (UML), which consisted of designed a system used Unified cased diagram, class diagrams, activities diagrams, and sequences diagrams. The forecasted resulted obtained from this studied are the resulted of the forecasted of the Triple Exponential Smoothing on Acetylcysteine is founded at alpha 0.1 with a valued of 48 and the lowest levelled of accuracy for forecasted based on MAPE is 42%. Calculated of forecasted resulted for 200 typed of drugs concluded that 64% is recommended and 36% is not recommended for determined drug stocked inventory in July 2021.
Keywords: Forecasting, Information Systems, Sinar Abadi Pharmacy, Triple Exponential Smoothing, and MAPE.
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