CD Skripsi
Pemodelan Harga Minyak Dunia Dan Jumlah Uang Yang Beredar Terhadap Inflasi Di Indonesia Menggunakan Autoregressive Distributed Lag (Ardl)
ABSTRACT
The economic problem that is very common in every country is inflation. Inflation is an increase in the price of goods or services in general and continuously, which can affect the prices of other goods. Indonesia is an oil importing country because oil products from Indonesia do not meet people's demands. If there is an increase in world oil prices, it will have an impact on the Indonesian economy. The amount of money in circulation can also cause inflation. The purpose of this study is to model the effect of world oil prices and the money supply on inflation in Indonesia. The model used in this study is the Autoregressive Distributed Lag (ARDL). After testing the variables, we found that there is no cointegration among the variables. Variables that significantly effects are inflation in the previous month and inflation in the previous two months.
Keywords: Autoregressive Distributed Lag, ARDL, Cointegration.
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