CD Skripsi
Pengaruh Ekspor, Inflasi Dan Tingkat Suku Bunga Terhadap Nilai Tukar Rupiah Atas Dolar Amerika Serikat Periode 2013-2023
ABSTRACT
This study aims to analyze the effect of exports, inflation, and interest rates
on the Rupiah exchange rate against the US Dollar in the period 2013-2023. The
exchange rate is a key indicator in the economy because it reflects the economic
stability and competitiveness of a country. Exchange rate fluctuations can be
influenced by various economic factors, including international trade, monetary
policy, and domestic price levels. In this study, the method used is multiple regression
with the EViews 12 Student Lite application to determine the relationship between
independent and dependent variables.
The results of the study show that exports have a positive and significant
effect on the Rupiah exchange rate, which means that an increase in exports is
followed by an increase in the Rupiah exchange rate against the USD (Rupiah
depreciation). This shows that although exports have increased, the inflow of foreign
exchange has not been strong enough to strengthen the Rupiah. Inflation has a
negative and significant effect, which shows that the increase in inflation causes a
decrease in the Rupiah exchange rate against the USD so that the Rupiah
appreciates. Meanwhile, the interest rate has a positive but insignificant effect on the
Rupiah exchange rate against the USD, which indicates that changes in interest rates
do not have a major impact on the exchange rate in this study period.
This study provides insight for policy makers in maintaining exchange rate
stability through export management, inflation, and monetary policy related to
interest rates. These findings are also considerations for economic actors in dealing
with exchange rate dynamics and in formulating more optimal trade and investment
strategies.
Keywords: Exports, Inflation, Interest Rates, Rupiah Exchange Rate.
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