CD Skripsi
Dampak Perekonomian Jepang, Rrc Dan As Terhadap Ekspor Indonesia Periode 2001 – 2015
This study aims to analyze the impact of free variables GDP Japan, China and USA and Dollar to the dependent variable of Indonesian export value.
This research uses time series data during 2001 - 2015. The analysis method used in this research is quantitative descriptive method, partial and simultaneous analysis (multiple linear regression analysis with SPSS version 22.0 and elasticity analysis).
The results of statistical tests show that, simultaneous regression test (F test) for independent variables on Indonesian exports with F-statistic respectively of 16,374 for Japan, 19.262 for China and 66,536 for USA with probability each 0,000 for Japan, 0,000 for China and 0,000 for the USA, with adjusted R square values of 0.687 for Japan, 0.723 for China and 0.903 for the USA respectively. This means that about 68.7% of the variation in Indonesian Indonesiake exports can be explained by GDP and Japanese exchange rate, while the balance of 31.3% is explained by variables outside the model. Then about 72.3% of variations in Indonesia's exports to China can be explained by GDP and Chinese exchange rate, while the rest of 27.7% is explained by variables outside the model. And about 90.3% of variation in Indonesia's exports to the USA can be explained by GDP and USA exchange rate, while the rest of 9.7% is explained by variables outside the model. The partial regression test (t test) shows that Japan, China and USA GDP have a positive and significant effect on Indonesian exports, with t-stat yields 5,685 for Japan, 5,606 for China and 9,166 for USA, respectively. Dollar exchange has positive and insignificant effect on Indonesian exports to Japan, has a positive and significant effect on Indonesia's exports to China, and has a negative and insignificant effect on Indonesia's exports to USA with t-stat results of 1.797 each for Japan, 3,051 for China , and -0.934 for USA.
Keywords :GDP, Exchange rate, Export Value.
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