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Mitigasi Risiko Keterlambatan Proyek Perbaikan Tangki Minyak Mentah Di Duri Dengan Simulasi Monte Carlo

Activities on the critical path have potential to delay the completion of a project. Critical path has a dominant risk and influential on the next job if it is late to start and finish. Activities on tank repair projects has a series of critical path of high-risk.The objectives of this research are to identify, analyze and mitigate the risk factors for delays in the tank repair project located in Duri, Bengkalis Regency. As are results of identification there are 29 risk factors that cause project delays. After the risk level grouping analysis is carried out, 8 higher and dominant level risk factors are generated which greatly influence and significantly affect project delays including work safety factors during construction, lack of experienced human resources, critical path work, contractor experience, limited equipment availability, process of obtaining constrained daily work permits, lack of qualified supervisors, and lack of coordination between the teams involved. Based on risk factors, the project has experienced a delay of 257 working days. After risk mitigation is carried out, assuming the value of the risk amount is reduced about 17,34% for maximum duration, decreasing from 271 days to 224 days. On the probability of P50 (most likely) there is a project acceleration of 11.11%, down from 243 to 216 days after mitigation, it is carried out using Monte Carlo simulation to estimate total time of completion of the project using @Risk program. Monte Carlo simulation using program @Risk for Excel able to estimate total duration of the project to get accurate results.

Keywords : risk mitigation, time delay of project, monte carlo simulation

Ketersediaan
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Perpustakaan Universitas Riau 10 12. 219 (0001)
10 12. 219 (0001)
Tersedia
Informasi Detail
Judul Seri
-
No. Panggil
10 12. 219 (0001)
Penerbit
Pekanbaru : Universitas Riau – Pascasarjana – Tesis Teknik Sipil.,
Deskripsi Fisik
xiii, 132 hlm.; ill.; 29 cm
Bahasa
Indonesia
ISBN/ISSN
-
Klasifikasi
10 12. 219 (0001)
Tipe Isi
-
Tipe Media
-
Tipe Pembawa
-
Edisi
-
Subjek
PASCASARJANA (MAGISTER) TEKNIK SIPIL
Info Detail Spesifik
-
Pernyataan Tanggungjawab
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Tidak tersedia versi lain

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