CD Skripsi
Pengaruh Defisit Anggaran Dan Jumlah Uang Beredar (M2) Terhadap Inflasi Di Indonesia Tahun 1997-2017
This study aims to analyze how budget deficit and money supply effect in long term and short term the inflation. The data used in this study was a time series of budget deficit, money supply and inflation data from 1997 to 2017. This study used analysis Error Corection Model (ECM) by using Eviews 10 software program for windows computers.
The result showed the variabel budget deficit in long term had a significant influence and positive on inflation. But money supply had a significant influence and negative on inflation. R-square is 0.946550. in short term variabel budget deficit had a significant influence and positive. But variabel money supply not significant on inflation. The result showed coeficient ECT had a significant rate (0,0000) < α (5%). Coefficient regression ECT (-1) is λ. the speed of adjusment is 1-λ rate -0.880567 (1-0.880567). result of 88.05% in the first period of the adjustment process 88.05% at 100% . the speed of adjusment used 1.13 (100/88.05) period 1 year.
Budget deficit had a significant and positive in long term and short term on inflation. And money supply in long term had a significant and negative. This means that the increase in budget deficit will make an increase to inflation. While the long-term money supply (M2) has a negative and significant effect, the increase of Money Supply (M2) will decrease inflation.
Keywords : budget deficit, money supply (M2), inflation
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