CD Skripsi
Pengaruh Inflasi, Neraca Transaksi Berjalan, Pembayaran Utang Luar Negeri Pemerintah, Dan Suku Bunga Terhadap Nilai Tukar Rupiah Tahun 2010q1-2023q4
ABSTRACT
This study aims to determine the effect of inflation, the current account balance, government external debt payments, and interest rates on the Rupiah exchange rate against the US Dollar from 2005-2023. The data used include Indonesia's annual inflation rate, the current account balance, government external debt payments, and the Rupiah exchange rate over the period 2005-2023. The study employs a descriptive quantitative method with an Autoregressive Distributed Lag (ARDL) analysis model, analyzed using E-views 12.
The research findings indicate that inflation has a significant impact on the rupiah exchange rate in both the short and long term. A 1% increase in inflation causes a depreciation of 93.25693 Rupiah in the short term and 161.6617 Rupiah in the long term. The current account balance is not significant in the short term but becomes significant in the long term, where a 1% increase results in an appreciation of 0.267896 Rupiah. Government external debt repayments are not significant in either the short or long term. Interest rates are not significant in the short term but are significant in the previous period and approach significance in the long term, where a 1% increase causes a depreciation of 222.066 rupiah.
Keywords: Inflation, Current Account Balance, Government External Debt Payments, Interest Rates, Rupiah Exchange Rate.
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