CD Skripsi
Evaluasi Dan Proyeksi Kebutuhan Landing Movement Bandar Udara (Studi Kasus: Bandar Udara Internasional Kualanamu, Sumatera Utara)
Abstract
Air transportation plays a crucial role in regional connectivity and economic growth. Kualanamu International Airport, as one of the main gateways in North Sumatra, experienced significant fluctuations in passenger numbers due to the COVID-19 pandemic. This study aims to evaluate and project the future demand for landing movements at Kualanamu Airport for the period 2024 to 2043. The methodology includes linear regression, polynomial regression, and a government statement approach. Five alternative projection methods were employed in this study: linear regression, polynomial regression, government statements, linear-polynomial combination, and polynomial-government combination. Data were obtained from Statistics Indonesia (BPS) and the airport authority, and analyzed using the Mean Absolute Percentage Error (MAPE) to assess forecast accuracy. The evaluation indicates that the existing capacity of the runway, taxiway, and apron will approach saturation by the mid-2030s. Based on IAP4 projections, expansion or upgrading of airside facilities will be necessary within the next two decades. This study provides technical recommendations to support strategic decision-making and sustainable airport infrastructure planning.
Keywords: landing movement, Kualanamu Airport, aircraft projection, regression analysis, IAP4
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