Perbandingan Model Pemulusan Eksponensial Winter Dengan Arma(P, Q) Untuk Pera…

This final project discusses Winter’s Smoothing model and ARMA(p, q) model with numerical computation. Both of these models are used to predict the availability of rice stock at BULOG Pekanbaru in 2015 by considering the seasonal factor from time series span data. Then a comparison is carried out for both forecasting models to select the right forecasting model with minimum Mean Square E…