CD Skripsi
Analisis Kerawanan Kebakaran Hutan Dan Lahan Menggunakan Sistem Informasi Geografis Di Kabupaten Pelalawan
ABSTRACT
Forest and land fires are a serious environmental problem that occurs every
year in Pelalawan Regency and causes ecological, economic, social, and political
losses. In the 2022–2024 period, the area affected by forest and land fires reached
3.315,13 ha with an increasing trend, mainly because most of Pelalawan is peatland
that is easily burn during the dry season. This study was conducted to analyze the
vulnerability of forest and land fires using a geographic information system (GIS)
and to identify the environmental factors that most influence this vulnerability
modelling. The study used quantitative methods and literature review, utilizing data
on forest and land fire incidents from 2022-2024 and environmental variables such
as land cover, rainfall, surface temperature, peat distribution, wind speed, distance
to roads, distance to rivers, and distance to settlements. All data were processed in
Microsoft Excel and Quantum Geographic Information System (QGIS) for
coordinate and raster system alignment, then analyzed using the Maximum Entropy
(MaxEnt) model. The results of the study showed four classes of vulnerability,
namely low, medium, high, and very high. The subdistricts of Langgam, Ukui,
Pangkalan Lesung, Teluk Meranti, and Kuala Kampar are areas with very high
vulnerability covering a fairly large area. The most influential variable was land
cover, with a contribution of 33,1%. The AUC value of 0,879 indicates good model
accuracy, so that the resulting vulnerability map can be used as a reference for local
governments in their efforts to mitigate and control forest and land fires.
Keywords: Forest and land fire, vulnerability, spatial analysis, Geographic
Information System (GIS), MaxEnt.
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