CD Skripsi
Perbandingan Program Prediksi Tingkat Pertumbuhan Penduduk Pada Desa Beringin Jaya Kec. Singingi Hilir Kab. Kuantan Singingi Menggunakan Metode Least Square Dan Metode Single Moving Average
ABSTRACT
The population of Beringin Jaya Village, Singingi Hilir Subdistrict, Kuantan Singingi Regency has increased every year. Forecasting is an important tool in effective and efficient planning. The Least Square Method is the most widely used method for determining of data trend equations because this method produces the result of prediction mathematically.While the Single Moving Average Method produces predictive result that not inferior when compared to complex forecasting methods. The results of this forecasting are information of future population growth, so that they can be used by the Head of the Beringin Jaya Village to make decisions for improvy policies of life quality for the residents of that Village. One of them is how the results of this prediction can be used by the Village Head in planning programs to control the rate of population growth in the future. As a result from the research, that the Mean Absolute Percentage Error (MAPE) value of the Single Moving Average Method of 1,6012% is greater than the MAPE value of Least Square Method of 0.7984% and 0.9237%. So it was found that the Least Square Method is better.
Keywords : Forecasting, Population Growth, Least Square, Single Moving Average, Mean Absolute Percentage Error
Tidak tersedia versi lain