CD Tesis
Analisis Integrasi Spasial Pasar Daging Sapi Provinsi Riau Dengan Daerah Pemasok
Demands of beef in Riau Province is increasing year by year, but not balance with the production. This condition made the beef price in Riau Province are increasing . Ideally, the price changes in the supplier area would lead the price changes in Riau Province, shows that markets are integrated. This research aims to analyze the dynamics and variation of beef price in Riau Province and supplier areas, to forecast beef price in Riau Province in the future, and to analyze beef market integration of Riau Province with supplier areas. Descriptive and variation coefficient used to see dynamics and variation of beef price, Autoregresif Integrated Moving Average (ARIMA) used to forecast beef price in Riau Province in the future and Vector Autoregression (VAR) /Vector Error Correction Model (VECM) used to analyze the market integration. The result of the research shows that the beef price in Riau Province and supplier areas are fluctuated and increased. The result of forecasting shows that beef price in Riau Province will be increasing in the future. Analysis of market integration shows that beef market in Riau Province only has integration in long-term and short-term only with Lampung Province and there is integration in short-term with Australia.
Keywords: Beef; Price Variation; Forecasting; Market Integration
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